ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮات آبو ﻫﻮاﻳﻲ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم(T. aestivum L.) آﺑﻲ ﺷﻬﺮﺳﺘﺎنﻫﺎی آﺑﺎده، ﺷﻴﺮاز و ﻻر اﺳﺘﺎن ﻓﺎرس

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عنوان دوره: سیزدهمین کنگره زراعت و اصلاح نباتات ایران
نویسندگان
1داﻧﺸﺠﻮی ﻛﺎرﺷﻨﺎﺳﻲ ارﺷﺪ رﺷﺘﻪ ﻛﺸﺎورزی اﻛﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ، ﭘﮋوﻫﺸﻜﺪه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻣﺤﻴﻄﻲ، داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﺷﻬﻴﺪ ﺑﻬﺸﺘﻲ، ﺗﻬﺮان
2اﺳﺘﺎدﻳﺎر ﮔﺮوه ﻛﺸﺎورزی اﻛﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ، ﭘﮋوﻫﺸﻜﺪه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻣﺤﻴﻄﻲ، داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﺷﻬﻴﺪ ﺑﻬﺸﺘﻲ، ﺗﻬﺮان
3اﺳﺘﺎدﻳﺎران ﮔﺮوه ﻛﺸﺎورزی اﻛﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ، ﭘﮋوﻫﺸﻜﺪه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻣﺤﻴﻄﻲ، داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﺷﻬﻴﺪ ﺑﻬﺸﺘﻲ، ﺗﻬﺮان
چکیده
در ﺳﺎلﻫﺎی اﺧﻴﺮ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮات ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻣﺸﺎﻫﺪهای در درﺟﻪﺣﺮارت و ﺑﺎرﻧﺪﮔﻲ در دو ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻲ و ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪای در ﻗﺎﻟﺐ ﭘﺪﻳﺪه ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ اﻗﻠﻴﻢ ﺻﻮرت ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ و ﺑﺮرﺳﻲ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ آن ﺑﺮﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﻣﺤﺼﻮﻻت، ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﺎت ﺑﺴﻴﺎری را ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮد اﺧﺘﺼﺎص داده اﺳﺖ. از اﻳﻦرو ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻖ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﻪﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺑﺮرﺳﻲ اﺛﺮ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ آبو ﻫﻮاﻳﻲ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم در اﺳﺘﺎن ﻓﺎرس اﻧﺠﺎم ﺷﺪ. ﺑﺪﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر آﻣﺎر ﻣﺮﺑﻮط ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد و ﺗﺎرﻳﺦﻫﺎی ﻛﺎﺷﺖ و ﺑﺮداﺷﺖ ﮔﻨﺪم و اﻃﻼﻋﺎت ﻫﻮاﺷﻨﺎﺳﻲ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﺑﺎرﻧﺪﮔﻲ و درﺟﻪﺣﺮارت از ﺳﺎزﻣﺎنﻫﺎی ﺟﻬﺎد ﻛﺸﺎورزی و ﻫﻮاﺷﻨﺎﺳﻲ اﺳﺘﺎن ﺗﻬﺮان ﺟﻤﻊآوری ﮔﺮدﻳﺪﻧﺪ. ﺑﻪﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺑﺮرﺳﻲ راﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم ﺑﺎ ﺷﺎﺧﺺﻫﺎی آبو ﻫﻮاﻳﻲ و ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻳﻲ ﻣﻬﻤﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺘﻐﻴﺮﻫﺎی آبو ﻫﻮاﻳﻲ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮﮔﺬار ﺑﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد از ﺿﺮﻳﺐ ﻫﻤﺒﺴﺘﮕﻲ و رﮔﺮﺳﻴﻮن ﺧﻄﻲ ﺳﺎده ﺑﺮای ﻫﺮ ﻳﻚ از ﺷﻬﺮﺳﺘﺎنﻫﺎی آﺑﺎده، ﺷﻴﺮاز و ﻻر اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪ. ﺑﺮاﺳﺎس ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ، در ﻣﻴﺎن ﭘﺎراﻣﺘﺮﻫﺎی ﻫﻮاﺷﻨﺎﺳﻲ، ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮات ﺑﺎرﻧﺪﮔﻲ در آﺑﺎده ﺑﺮای ﻣﺎه ﻓﺮوردﻳﻦ و ﻓﺼﻞ ﺑﻬﺎر، و در راﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻴﺮاز ﺑﺮای ﻣﻴﺎﻧﮕﻴﻦ ﺳﺎﻻﻧﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم اﺛﺮ ﻣﻌﻨﻲدار داﺷﺘﻪ و درﺟﻪﺣﺮارت ﺑﻴﺸﻴﻨﻪ ﺑﺮای ﻣﺎهﻫﺎی ﻓﺮوردﻳﻦ ﺗﺎ ﺧﺮداد و ﻓﺼﻞ ﺗﺎﺑﺴﺘﺎن ﻻر و ﺑﺮای ﻣﺎهﻫﺎی ﻓﺮوردﻳﻦ و ﺧﺮداد و ﻓﺼﻞ ﺑﻬﺎر آﺑﺎده و در ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ درﺟﻪﺣﺮارت ﻛﻤﻴﻨﻪ ﺑﺮای ﻓﺼﻞ ﺑﻬﺎر ﻻر ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم را ﺗﺤﺖﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﻗﺮار دادهاﻧﺪ. اﻳﻦ ﻣﺘﻐﻴﺮﻫﺎ در ﺳﺎﻳﺮ زﻣﺎنﻫﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﻣﻌﻨﻲداری ﻧﺪاﺷﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ
کلیدواژه ها
 
Title
The impact of climate change on wheat (T. aestivum L.) yield of Abadeh, Shiraz and lar in Fars
Authors
Abstract
Abstract
In recent years, primarily temperature and precipitation changes are visible in both global and regional levels in the fact of climate change and the study of its effect on the function of the products, has allocated many researches to himself. Therefor, this study was conducted to examine the effect of the change of the climatic factors on wheat yield in Fars Province. For this purpose, the statistics relating to the function of wheat yield and the meteorogical data including rainfall and temperature was gathered of agricultural organization and aerology organization. To investigate the relationship between the function of wheat yield with climatic indicators and identify the most important climatic parameters affecting, the correlation coefficient and simple linear regression were used for each of the cities Abadeh, Shiraz and Lar. among the meteorological parameters, changes in precipitation for the month April and Spring of Abadeh and in relation to Shiraz for the annual average the function of wheat yield, it has a significant effect and the maximum temperature for the months of April to June and Summer of Lar and for the month of April and Spring of Abadeh and finally the minimum temperature of Spring of Lar have influenced the function of wheat yield. At other times, these variables have no significant effect on wheat yield.
Keywords
weather variability, Yield, Fars, weather factor, wheat