مدلسازی واکنش سبز شدن ارقام گندم به دما در شرایط مزرعه

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عنوان دوره: سیزدهمین کنگره زراعت و اصلاح نباتات ایران
نویسندگان
1داﻧﺸﺠﻮی ﻛﺎرﺷﻨﺎﺳﻲ ارﺷﺪ ﮔﺮوه زراﻋﺖ داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻛﺸﺎورزی و ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﮔﺮﮔﺎن،
2اﺳﺘﺎد ﮔﺮوه زراﻋﺖ داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻛﺸﺎورزی و ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﮔﺮﮔﺎن
3اﺳﺘﺎدﻳﺎر ﮔﺮوه زراﻋﺖ داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻛﺸﺎورزی و ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﮔﺮﮔﺎن
4ﻋﻀﻮ ﻫﻴﺌﺖﻋﻠﻤﻲ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﺎت ﻛﺸﺎورزی و ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ طبیعی استان گلستان
5داﻧﺸﺠﻮی دﻛﺘﺮی ﮔﺮوه زراﻋﺖ داﻧﺸﮕﺎه ﻋﻠﻮم ﻛﺸﺎورزی و ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ ﮔﺮﮔﺎن
چکیده
زﻣﺎن ﺳﺒﺰ ﺷﺪن ﻳﻜﻲ از ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ ﻣﻮﺛﺮ ﺑﺮ رﺷﺪ و ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮد ﮔﻨﺪم اﺳﺖ و اﻳﻦ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ در ﻣﺪلﻫﺎی ﮔﻴﺎﻫﺎن زراﻋﻲ ﺑﻪ درﺳﺘﻲ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻲ ﺷﻮد. ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر، در ﻳﻚ آزﻣﺎﻳﺶ ﻣﺰرﻋﻪای 8 رﻗﻢ ﮔﻨﺪم ﺑﺎ 12 ﺗﺎرﻳﺦ ﻛﺎﺷﺖ ﻛﺸﺖ ﮔﺮدﻳﺪ و ﺗﻌﺪاد روز ﺗﺎ ﺳﺒﺰ ﺷﺪن آنﻫﺎ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺷﺪ. ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺗﻮﺻﻴﻒ راﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺳﺮﻋﺖ ﺳﺒﺰ ﺷﺪن و دﻣﺎ از ﻣﺪلﻫﺎی ﺑﺘﺎ، دو ﺗﻜﻪای و دﻧﺪان ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ و ﺑﺮای اﻧﺘﺨﺎب ﻣﺪل ﺑﺮﺗﺮ از ﺟﺬر ﻣﻴﺎﻧﮕﻴﻦ ﻣﺮﺑﻌﺎت ﺧﻄﺎ )RMSE(، ﺿﺮﻳﺐ ﺗﺒﻴﻴﻦ R2 و ﺿﺮﻳﺐ ﻫﻤﺒﺴﺘﮕﻲ )r( اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪ. ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﻧﺸﺎن داد ﻛﻪ از ﻟﺤﺎظ آﻣﺎری ﻫﻴﭻ اﺧﺘﻼف ﻣﻌﻨﻲداری از ﻧﻈﺮ دﻣﺎﻫﺎی ﻛﺎردﻳﻨﺎل ﺑﻴﻦ ارﻗﺎم وﺟﻮد ﻧﺪاﺷﺖ و واﻛﻨﺶ ﺳﺒﺰ ﺷﺪن ﮔﻨﺪم ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ دﻣﺎ را ﻣﻲﺗﻮان ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺗﺎﺑﻊ ﺑﺘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺑﻲ ﺗﻮﺻﻴﻒ ﻛﺮد. ﺑﺮ اﻳﻦ اﺳﺎس، دﻣﺎﻫﺎی ﻛﺎردﻳﻨﺎل ﺛﺒﺖﺷﺪه ﺑﺮای ﭘﺎﻳﻪ، ﻣﻄﻠﻮب و ﺳﻘﻒ در ارﻗﺎم ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ 0/22، 27/16 و 40 درﺟﻪ ﺳﺎﻧﺘﻲ ﮔﺮاد و روز ﺑﻴﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ ﻣﻮرد ﻧﻴﺎز ﺑﺮای ﺳﺒﺰ ﺷﺪن ارﻗﺎم 6/2 روز ﺑﻮد. از اﻃﻼﻋﺎت ﺣﺎﺻﻞ از اﻳﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻣﻲﺗﻮان ﺑﺮای ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻲ ﺳﺒﺰ ﺷﺪن ارﻗﺎم ﮔﻨﺪم در ﺷﺮاﻳﻂ دﻣﺎﻳﻲ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﻛﺮد.
کلیدواژه ها
 
Title
Modelling response of emergence to temperature in wheat cultivars under field condition
Authors
Abstract
The timing of seedling emergence greatly affects growth and yield of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) and a good growth model should predict it accurately. To do this, 8 wheat cultivars were sown at 12 sowing dates and the number of days from sowing to emergence were recorded. Beta, Segmented and Dent-like models were applied to describe the relationship between emergence rate and temperature. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R) and correlation coefficient (r) were used to detect the perfect. Results indicated that not statistically significant difference between genotypes Cardinal temperatures and the response of wheat emergence to temperature is best described by Beta Function. Accordingly, Cardinal temperatures Estimated by this model were 0.22 °C for base temperature, 27.16 °C for optimum temperature and the value of 40 °C was assumed as ceiling temperature. Estimation of biological days cultivars requirement by beta model in sowing depth 3cm showed a 6.2 days. The quantitative information provided by this study can be used in prediction of emergence wheat cultivars under diverse temperature conditions.
Keywords
wheat (Triticum aestivum), emergence, temperature, biological day, Modelling